Showing posts with label politics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label politics. Show all posts

Saturday, September 11, 2010

German Pride, EU Crisis, and the US


Check out this big-picture perspective on resurgent national pride in Germany from the New York Times.  The country that Jurgen Habermas once termed the "self-absorbed colussus," crippled with guilt over two world wars, the horrors of the Nazi-led Holocaust and global acrimony spanning generations is now staging a comeback -- to itself. 

The historically conflicted "German-German relationship" of its citizens could be showing signs of thaw, evident in new roles of German prominence from crisis-time leadership in the European Union, to its soccer team's success in this summer's World Cup to the current preponderance of German acts on European pop charts. From the article:

“Maybe it’s our time again,” said Catherine Mendle, 25, a school social worker strolling the grounds and halls of the square glass and concrete Chancellery building on a recent afternoon as part of a government open house. A military band played in the background, and Mrs. Merkel signed autographs for curious visitors.
“We have this extreme helper syndrome, to try to make the world love us again, and it’s completely overdone,” Ms. Mendle said. Germany, she said, had been reduced to simple stereotypes — Oktoberfest, auto factories, the Holocaust. Its rich traditions in music and literature, and its enduring emphasis on social welfare and a strong commitment to the environment, deserve more respect abroad and at home, Ms. Mendle said.

And this on German politics and history:

 "... Chancellor Angela Merkel has led a bloc of countries fending off President Obama’s calls for stimulus spending to combat the economic crisis, certain that the world should follow Germany’s example of austerity.
German pride did not die after the country’s defeat in World War II. Instead, like Sleeping Beauty in the Brothers Grimm version of the folk tale, it only fell into a deep slumber. The country has now awakened, ready to celebrate its economic ingenuity, its cultural treasures and the unsullied stretches of its history.

As Germany embarks on this journey of self-discovery, the question is whether it will leave behind a European project which was built in no small measure on the nation’s postwar guilt and on its pocketbook."

It remains to be seen how Germany will deal with its load of problems also shared throughout Europe. On integration, for example, a stark line is drawn between the assimilated and those who suffer the brunt of the global unemployment trend, including immigrants, like the Turkish manual laborers brought in en masse during the 1970s and after. Immigration remains today a question roiled by entrenched opinion, and the European demographics problem doesn't help. The German vision for economic recovery stands at loggerheads with the socialized economic thinking of France, Spain, Italy and elsewhere. 

The risk of playing the EU's rich daddy during the crisis, of course, is that other Europeans won't remedy their economic weaknesses exposed by the 2008 meltdown -- or worse yet, that Europe will come to expect German bail-outs at every hard turn -- both after the crisis and in the long run.

And what would such a reality mean for the United States? Frittered German cash means badly depleted EU capital, both of the economic and political kind. (And on the latter: ask an average American to name three EU leaders, they'll likely say "Uhh," "Hmm" and "What?") Skeptics and Euro-Doomers are already airing bold claims that "Europe is history" -- and that particular damning, from IHT editor-at-large Roger Cohen. 

A healthy future transatlantic relationship is not just a matter of national pride as with the Germans, a growing light within a confused-as-ever European palette. Both the US and Europe want to see a finished EU masterpiece -- not because it should be beautiful, but because it's vital to our common interests.

Tuesday, September 7, 2010

Belgian Government Talks Fail -- Risk of Meltdown, Splitting of Country

 
The Future "State" of Belgium?

The Belgian national government crisis is again peaking in the red, with questions of separation now being voiced openly by the country's statesmen in Brussels. 

Following the meltdown Friday of negotiations between leading Socialist Laurette Onkelinx and separatist Flemish leaders for a coalition government, Onkelinx warned that the world should "get ready for the break-up of Belgium."

Even as King Albert II attempts to restart talks between the seven-party patchwork currently working toward a more stable Belgian government, the dysfunction is reeling and risks pushing the country into political chaos.

The underlying problem traces back to dissent between Belgium's two main linguistic communities, the French-speaking Walloon and the Dutch-speaking Flemish. The threat of Flemish secession has loomed with real potential since 2007, when a fractious multi-party coalition took nine months to solidify. Scarce public confidence and musical chairs among senior leaders only perpetuated the rift. 

In 2008 the high-profile Flemish figures Yves Leterme stepped down from the prime ministership to allow Herman Van Rompuy into power in December. Van Rompuy was called just eleven months later to take up the immensely demanding post of President of the European Council. Leterme then returned to his former seat as prime minister, only to see talks founder in April 2010 amid party disputes and overall dysfunction.

The Belgian political scene risks to devolve further if leaders and parties fail to cobble together a government, make it function and keep it working over time. 

Chiefs of the Belgian government in Brussels have chosen words with unusually strong tones on the prospect of a split. Francophone socialist Philippe Moureaux has warned of a "progressive organization of separation." Another senior from the Wallonia state government has expressed that "all options" are possible.

"Let's hope it doesn't come to that because if we split, it will be the weakest who will pay the heaviest price," Onkelinx, the francophone leader, has said, as reported by Agence France Presse.  "On the other hand, we can no longer ignore that among a large part of the Flemish population, it's their wish [to separate]... Loads of people think it's possible. (Our) politicians have to be prepared."

Some have dismissed Onkelinx's remarks as exaggerated. But almost all observers agree that such statements could rock not only the Belgian political scene, but far more broadly, European markets.
"I'm afraid the political parties are playing with fire," said Philippe Ledent, a Brussels-based economist at ING, in a Reuters wire. Continued rancor in the Belgian government could impact public finances and the country's stable image abroad. 

Some pessimistic Belgians fear that Belgium may take on a reputation as the "Greece of the North Sea," an echo of the Mediterranean nation's severe deficit woes in the last year.